Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 11.046387 12.261457 13.568826 15.082402 16.789327 18.657970 20.862968
2025-08-31 9.086449 10.741011 12.651715 15.031025 17.927817 21.356935 25.748391
2025-09-07 7.900266 9.843331 12.224955 15.381616 19.489447 24.699994 31.882959
2025-09-14 6.833512 8.895479 11.552249 15.265302 20.382319 27.276675 37.423170
2025-09-21 5.947172 8.034745 10.841553 14.947911 20.897426 29.352578 42.547701
2025-09-28 5.308873 7.411422 10.347188 14.821883 21.605536 31.728349 48.408877
2025-10-05 4.972665 7.160118 10.325767 15.343787 23.291425 35.729862 57.357821
2025-10-12 4.671531 6.917691 10.275965 15.794448 24.896372 39.790714 67.041372
2025-10-19 4.329388 6.571758 10.022692 15.878933 25.897523 42.970506 75.704953
2025-10-26 3.986424 6.186880 9.662472 15.734994 26.475844 45.475516 83.524954
2025-11-02 3.672737 5.816891 9.285323 15.510730 26.868928 47.675890 91.097740
2025-11-09 3.388302 5.467749 8.906547 15.235355 27.122522 49.628958 98.476546
2025-11-16 3.142476 5.167861 8.593020 15.059845 27.573732 52.088628 107.517482
2025-11-23 2.939888 4.924862 8.356083 14.999583 28.241169 55.080843 118.323058
2025-11-30 2.817638 4.811234 8.336720 15.344719 29.753930 60.033910 134.602974
2025-12-07 2.641581 4.585937 8.093001 15.226414 30.299728 63.003731 146.782851
2025-12-14 2.456650 4.329113 7.767467 14.908802 30.380636 64.951302 156.816068
2025-12-21 2.313438 4.137921 7.548588 14.782582 30.855378 67.857812 169.942761
2025-12-28 2.257885 4.107484 7.636230 15.302627 32.838101 74.630856 195.106225
2026-01-04 2.197214 4.061816 7.688787 15.751767 34.717156 81.461725 222.129519
2026-01-11 2.102538 3.941781 7.580744 15.835917 35.740487 86.292470 244.421871
2026-01-18 1.992798 3.783438 7.380817 15.692379 36.188896 89.689232 263.116618
2026-01-25 1.884094 3.619436 7.155981 15.468781 36.408594 92.506103 280.667248